02:45:29 <jberman[m]> <neptune[m] "I am looking at onchain data and"> Got a similar result as you: peaks of either 11 or 12 blocks over different intervals going back to the time around when block density was factored in, with a smooth observed distribution.
02:45:36 <jberman[m]> secparam the thing I still believe that was off with your original analysis was just the expectation of a peak at 1300, rather than an expected peak closer to 10